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THE DYNAMICS OF THE STRESS STATE OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BASED ON GEOMECHANICAL MODEL AND CURRENT SEISMICITY: SHORT-TERM EARTHQUAKE PREDICTIONстатья
- Авторы: Bondur V.G., Garagash I.A., Gokhberg M.B.
- Журнал: Исследования по геоинформатике: труды Геофизического центра РАН
- Том: 4
- Номер: 2
- Год издания: 2016
- Первая страница: 16
- Последняя страница: 16
- DOI: 10.2205/2016BS02Sochi
- Аннотация: The three-dimensional geomechanical model of Southern California was developed including a mountain relief, fault tectonics and internal border characteristics such as the roof of the consolidated crust and Moho surface. During the last six years on the basis of the developed geomechanical model and current seismicity is realized an approbation of technology for the estimation of possible future seismicity on a two weeks interval. All four strongest events with М ~ 5.5–7.2 occurred in South California during the analyzed period were prefaced by the stress anomalies in peculiar advance time of weeks-months. Inside the stress state background level investigation it was identified the feature of the largescale interaction between two seismically active tectonic provinces of Southern California. This effort is supported by Russian Ministry of Education and Science (unique project identifier RFMEFI57714X0108).
- Добавил в систему: Гохберг Михаил Борисович