Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continent

Roslin, T.; Antão, L.; Hällfors, M.; Meyke, E.; Lo Coong; Tikhonov, G.; Delgado, M.d.; Gurarie, E.; Abadonova, M.; Abduraimov, O.; Adrianova, O.; Akimova, T.; Akkiev, M.; Ananin, A.; Andreeva, E.; Andriychuk, N.; Antipin, M.; Arzamascev, K.; Babina, S.; Babushkin, M.; Bakin, O.; Barabancova, A.; Basilskaja, I.; Belova, N.; Belyaeva, N.; Bespalova, T.; Bisikalova, E.; Bobretsov, A.; Bobrov, V.; Bobrovskyi, V.; Bochkareva, E.; Bogdanov, G.; Bolshakov, V.; Bondarchuk, S.; Bukharova, E.; Butunina, A.; Buyvolov, Y.; Buyvolova, A.; Bykov, Y.; Chakhireva, E.; Chashchina, O.; Cherenkova, N.; Chistjakov, S.; Chuhontseva, S.; Davydov, E.A.; Demchenko, V.; Diadicheva, E.; Dobrolyubov, A.; Dostoyevskaya, L.; Drovnina, S.; Drozdova, Z.; Dubanaev, A.; Dubrovsky, Y.; Elsukov, S.; Epova, L.; Ermakova, O.; Ermakova, O.S.; Ershkova, E.; Esengeldenova, A.; Evstigneev, O.; Fedchenko, I.; Fedotova, V.; Filatova, T.; Gashev, S.; Gavrilov, A.; Gaydysh, I.; Golovcov, D.; Goncharova, N.; Gorbunova, E.; Gordeeva, T.; Grishchenko, V.; Gromyko, L.; Hohryakov, V.; Hritankov, A.; Ignatenko, E.; Igosheva, S.; Ivanova, U.; Ivanova, N.; Kalinkin, Y.; Kaygorodova, E.; Kazansky, F.; Kiseleva, D.; Knorre, A.; Kolpashikov, L.; Korobov, E.; Korolyova, H.; Korotkikh, N.; Kosenkov, G.; Kossenko, S.; Kotlugalyamova, E.; Kozlovsky, E.; Kozsheechkin, V.; Kozurak, A.; Kozyr, I.; Krasnopevtseva, A.; Kruglikov, S.; Kuberskaya, O.; Kudryavtsev, A.; Kulebyakina, E.; Kulsha, Y.; Kupriyanova, M.; Kurbanbagamaev, M.; Kutenkov, A.; Kutenkova, N.; Kuyantseva, N.; Kuznetsov, A.; Larin, E.; Lebedev, P.; Litvinov, K.; Luzhkova, N.; Mahmudov, A.; Makovkina, L.; Mamontov, V.; Mayorova, S.; Megalinskaja, I.; Meydus, A.; Minin, A.; Mitrofanov, O.; Motruk, M.; Myslenkov, A.; Nasonova, N.; Nemtseva, N.; Nesterova, I.; Nezdoliy, T.; Niroda, T.; Novikova, T.; Panicheva, D.; Pavlov, A.; Pavlova, K.; Podolski, S.; Polikarpova, N.; Polyanskaya, T.; Pospelov, I.; Pospelova, E.; Prokhorov, I.; Prokosheva, I.; Puchnina, L.; Putrashyk, I.; Raiskaya, J.; Rozhkov, Y.; Rozhkova, O.; Rudenko, M.; Rybnikova, I.; Rykova, S.; Sahnevich, M.; Samoylov, A.; Sanko, V.; Sapelnikova, I.; Sazonov, S.; Selyunina, Z.; Shalaeva, K.; Shashkov, M.; Shcherbakov, A.; Shevchyk, V.; Shubin, S.; Shujskaja, E.; Sibgatullin, R.; Sikkila, N.; Sitnikova, E.; Sivkov, A.; Skok, N.; Skorokhodova, S.; Smirnova, E.; Sokolova, G.; Sopin, V.; Spasovski, Y.; Stepanov, S.; Stratiy, V.; Strekalovskaya, V.; Sukhov, A.; Suleymanova, G.; Sultangareeva, L.; Teleganova, V.; Teplov, V.; Teplova, V.; Tertitsa, T.; Timoshkin, V.; Tirski, D.; Tolmachev, A.; Tomilin, A.; Tselishcheva, L.; Turgunov, M.; Tyukh, Y.; Van Polina; Van Vladimir; Vasin, A.; Vasina, A.; Vekliuk, A.; Vetchinnikova, L.; Vinogradov, V.; Volodchenkov, N.; Voloshina, I.; Xoliqov, T.; Yablonovska-Grishchenko, E.; Yakovlev, V.; Yakovleva, M.; Yantser, O.; Yarema, Y.; Zahvatov, A.; Zakharov, V.; Zelenetskiy, N.; Zheltukhin, A.; Zubina, T.; Kurhinen, J.; Ovaskainen, O.

Авторы: Roslin Tomas, Antão Laura, Hällfors Maria, Meyke Evgeniy, Lo Coong, Tikhonov Gleb, Delgado Maria del Mar, Gurarie Eliezer, Abadonova Marina, Abduraimov Ozodbek, Adrianova Olga, Akimova Tatiana, Akkiev Muzhigit, Ananin Aleksandr, Andreeva Elena, Andriychuk Natalia, Antipin Maxim, Arzamascev Konstantin, Babina Svetlana, Babushkin Miroslav, Bakin Oleg, Barabancova Anna, Basilskaja Inna, Belova Nina, Belyaeva Natalia, Bespalova Tatjana, Bisikalova Evgeniya, Bobretsov Anatoly, Bobrov Vladimir, Bobrovskyi Vadim, Bochkareva Elena, Bogdanov Gennady, Bolshakov Vladimir, Bondarchuk Svetlana, Bukharova Evgeniya, Butunina Alena, Buyvolov Yuri, Buyvolova Anna, Bykov Yuri, Chakhireva Elena, Chashchina Olga, Cherenkova Nadezhda, Chistjakov Sergej, Chuhontseva Svetlana, Davydov Evgeniy A., Demchenko Viktor, Diadicheva Elena, Dobrolyubov Aleksandr, Dostoyevskaya Ludmila, Drovnina Svetlana, Drozdova Zoya, Dubanaev Akynaly, Dubrovsky Yuriy, Elsukov Sergey, Epova Lidia, Ermakova Olga, Ermakova Olga S., Ershkova Elena, Esengeldenova Aleksandra, Evstigneev Oleg, Fedchenko Irina, Fedotova Violetta, Filatova Tatiana, Gashev Sergey, Gavrilov Anatoliy, Gaydysh Irina, Golovcov Dmitrij, Goncharova Nadezhda, Gorbunova Elena, Gordeeva Tatyana, Grishchenko Vitaly, Gromyko Ludmila, Hohryakov Vladimir, Hritankov Alexander, Ignatenko Elena, Igosheva Svetlana, Ivanova Uliya, Ivanova Natalya, Kalinkin Yury, Kaygorodova Evgeniya, Kazansky Fedor, Kiseleva Darya, Knorre Anastasia, Kolpashikov Leonid, Korobov Evgenii, Korolyova Helen, Korotkikh Natalia, Kosenkov Gennadiy, Kossenko Sergey, Kotlugalyamova Elvira, Kozlovsky Evgeny, Kozsheechkin Vladimir, Kozurak Alla, Kozyr Irina, Krasnopevtseva Aleksandra, Kruglikov Sergey, Kuberskaya Olga, Kudryavtsev Aleksey, Kulebyakina Elena, Kulsha Yuliia, Kupriyanova Margarita, Kurbanbagamaev Murad, Kutenkov Anatoliy, Kutenkova Nadezhda, Kuyantseva Nadezhda, Kuznetsov Andrey, Larin Evgeniy, Lebedev Pavel, Litvinov Kirill, Luzhkova Natalia, Mahmudov Azizbek, Makovkina Lidiya, Mamontov Viktor, Mayorova Svetlana, Megalinskaja Irina, Meydus Artur, Minin Aleksandr, Mitrofanov Oleg, Motruk Mykhailo, Myslenkov Aleksandr, Nasonova Nina, Nemtseva Natalia, Nesterova Irina, Nezdoliy Tamara, Niroda Tatyana, Novikova Tatiana, Panicheva Darya, Pavlov Alexey, Pavlova Klara, Podolski Sergei, Polikarpova Natalja, Polyanskaya Tatiana, Pospelov Igor, Pospelova Elena, Prokhorov Ilya, Prokosheva Irina, Puchnina Lyudmila, Putrashyk Ivan, Raiskaya Julia, Rozhkov Yuri, Rozhkova Olga, Rudenko Marina, Rybnikova Irina, Rykova Svetlana, Sahnevich Miroslava, Samoylov Alexander, Sanko Valeri, Sapelnikova Inna, Sazonov Sergei, Selyunina Zoya, Shalaeva Ksenia, Shashkov Maksim, Shcherbakov Anatoliy, Shevchyk Vasyl, Shubin Sergej, Shujskaja Elena, Sibgatullin Rustam, Sikkila Natalia, Sitnikova Elena, Sivkov Andrei, Skok Nataliya, Skorokhodova Svetlana, Smirnova Elena, Sokolova Galina, Sopin Vladimir, Spasovski Yurii, Stepanov Sergei, Stratiy Vitalіy, Strekalovskaya Violetta, Sukhov Alexander, Suleymanova Guzalya, Sultangareeva Lilija, Teleganova Viktorija, Teplov Viktor, Teplova Valentina, Tertitsa Tatiana, Timoshkin Vladislav, Tirski Dmitry, Tolmachev Andrej, Tomilin Aleksey, Tselishcheva Ludmila, Turgunov Mirabdulla, Tyukh Yurij, Van Polina, Van Vladimir, Vasin Aleksander, Vasina Aleksandra, Vekliuk Anatoliy, Vetchinnikova Lidia, Vinogradov Vladislav, Volodchenkov Nikolay, Voloshina Inna, Xoliqov Tura, Yablonovska-Grishchenko Eugenia, Yakovlev Vladimir, Yakovleva Marina, Yantser Oksana, Yarema Yurij, Zahvatov Andrey, Zakharov Valery, Zelenetskiy Nicolay, Zheltukhin Anatolii, Zubina Tatyana, Kurhinen Juri, Ovaskainen Otso
Журнал: Nature climate change
Год издания: 2021
Издательство: Nature Pub. Group
Местоположение издательства: United Kingdom
Первая страница: 0
Последняя страница: 21
DOI: 10.1038/s41558-020-00967-7
Аннотация: Ongoing climate change can shift organism phenology in ways that vary depending on species, habitats and climate factors studied. To probe for large-scale patterns in associated phenological change, we use 70,709 observations from six decades of systematic monitoring across the former Union of Soviet Socialist Republics. Among 110 phenological events related to plants, birds, insects, amphibians and fungi, we find a mosaic of change, defying simple predictions of earlier springs, later autumns and stronger changes at higher latitudes and elevations. Site mean temperature emerged as a strong predictor of local phenology, but the magnitude and direction of change varied with trophic level and the relative timing of an event. Beyond temperature-associated variation, we uncover high variation among both sites and years, with some sites being characterized by disproportionately long seasons and others by short ones. Our findings emphasize concerns regarding ecosystem integrity and highlight the difficulty of predicting climate change outcomes.
Добавил в систему: Минин Александр Андреевич

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Phenological shifts of abiotic events, producers and consumers across a continentстатья