About the waiting time for a strong earthquake

Авторы: Guglielmi A.V., Zotov O.D.
Журнал: Preprint Arxiv.org (Cornell University Library)
Номер: arXiv:2209.00176
Год издания: 2022
Первая страница: 1
Последняя страница: 11
Номер статьи: 2209.00176
DOI: 10.48550/arXiv.2209.00176
Аннотация: As an object of study, we chose the global activity of strong earthquakes (M > 7). The subject of the study is the waiting time for the next strong earthquake. The purpose of the study is to compare two distributions of waiting time, one of which is calculated when ordering events according to world time, and the second when ordering according to proper time. We have come up with unique underground clock to counting proper time. The average waiting time is 25 days in world time, and 10 ticks in proper time. We assert with a high degree of confidence that both distributions obey an exponential law. The coefficients of determination are 0.94 in the first case, and 0.98 in the second case. This is all the more surprising since our underground clock is a rather crude measuring instrument. We also consider general issues related to the chronologization of earthquakes. Keywords: proper time, deactivation factor, main shock, foreshocks and aftershocks, exponential and power distributions.
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