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The Transformation of Russia’s Regional Elites: A System-Dynamics Model with Counterfactual Scenarios 1985-2019статья Исследовательская статья
- Авторы: Crosston Matthew, Seltser Dmitry, Zhukov Dmitry
- Журнал: Russian Politics
- Том: 7
- Номер: 3
- Год издания: 2022
- Издательство: BRILL ACADEMIC PUBLISHERS
- Местоположение издательства: PLANTIJNSTRAAT 2, P O BOX 9000,LEIDEN, NETHERLANDS, 2300 PA
- Первая страница: 389
- Последняя страница: 421
- DOI: 10.30965/24518921-00604025
- Аннотация: The system-dynamic model elaborates processes for recruiting political elites across Russia’s regions from 1985 to 2019. The authors consider several counterfactual scenarios through computational simulations. The first series includes the radical disintegration of Soviet recruitment mechanisms. The second series elaborates the opposite scenario: the gradual evolution/preservation of Soviet continuity. The third series simulates a unique situation where Vladimir Putin abandons his policy for strengthening the “vertical of power.” A key finding is that the fight against new threats (crime, corruption, separatism) did not allow the center to realize the impact of traditional existing institutions that had corrosive and destructive power.
- Добавил в систему: Жуков Дмитрий Сергеевич